L’Oreal stock (OTCMKTS:LRLCY) has lost 14% over the past month (21 sessions), underperforming the S&P 500’s 8.5% decline. If you also look at the changes over the past five days, the stock is down 4.6%, underperforming the broader market. Additionally, L’Oreal’s most recent Q1’22 sales report showed revenue rising to $9.68 billion from $8.14 billion in Q1’21. Growth in Latin America contributed the most, with sales in the region rising 34% during the period. Despite rising sales, growing tensions in the broader market have weighed on L’Oreal’s shares, which have fallen 14% over the past month.
Now, will L’Oreal stock continue to underperform, or can we expect a rebound? Based on our machine learning analysis of share price trends over the past decade, we see a more than 90% chance that L’Oréal stock will rise next month (21 trading days). See our analysis of L’Oréal stock upside opportunities. For more details on the company’s earnings, see L’Oréal Earnings: How does LRLCY make money?
21 days: LRLCY -14% vs S&P500 -8.5%; underperforming market
(<1% probability event; over 90% probability of rising in the next 21 days)
LRLCY stock is down 14% over the past 21 trading days (one month) compared to the broader market (S&P 500) down 8.5% A change of -14% or more over 21 trading days is a <1% likely event, Happened 14 of 2,517 times in the past 10 years. In all 14 of those 14 times, the stock has moved positively in all 14 of the next 21 trading days, indicating a more than 90% probability that the stock will continue to move forward. up in the next 21 trading days
Ten days: LRLCY 1.9% vs S&P500 -2.1%; outperform
(32% probability event; 54% probability of rising in the next 10 days)
LRLCY stock has gained 1.9% in the past ten trading days (two weeks) while the broader market (S&P 500) has lost 2.1% A change of 1.9% or more in ten trading days is a 32% probability event that has happened 803 in the past 2517 times in 10 years Of these 803 times, the stock has risen 431 times in the next 10 trading days This indicates a 54% chance that the stock will rise in the next 10 trading days
Five days: LRLCY -4.6% vs S&P500 -2.6%; underperforming market
(4% probability event; 59% probability of rising in the next five days)
LRLCY stock lost 4.6% in the five-day trading period ending May 20, 2022, while the broader market (S&P 500) lost 2.6% over the same period. A change of -4.6% or more over five trading days (one week) is a 4% likelihood event, which has occurred 102 of 2517 times in the past 10 years. Of these 102 events, the stock will move in the next five 60 trading days This indicates a 59% chance that the stock will rise in the next five trading days
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